Peers Valuation
Figure XX. Main competitors of Kernel Clearly, not all agro holdings can be directly compared with each other because of Holding S.A. great product differentiation, operating margins discrepancy & different production capacity (including landbank). We compare Kernel Holding S.A. with its domestic and Russian peers (see Figure XX) in terms of 2011/12FY EV/EBITDA, EV/Sales and P/E multiples. We think peers comparison may provide some extra perspectives on our analysis. Also some specific production multiple like EV/Landbank was analysed, but any received result wasn’t obtained, because of higher than market medium Kernel crop yield.
The most expensive Ukrainian agro holding. According to peers valuation (see Figures), Kernel Holding S.A. trades with attractive 12,1% discount on EV/EBITDA, 39% discount on EV/S & premium 55% on P/E to its main peers (see Figure XX). The aggregate discount/premium to comparables equals to 19,3% was calculated with weighting each premium/discount on appropriate weight (methodology of calculation of weight - see Appendix XX), depend of useful multiples in investment analysis. Company is stable little overvalued by the market, cause of high growth rate performance during last year & resilient position (full operating & delivery cycle) on the investment attractive industry. Positive expectation bases on high investment perspective in oil & grain trading segments of company in Russia (Krasnodarskiu krai and Black Sea bank). Figures XX. Peers valuation of Kernel S.A.
Source: Bloomberg, KNU estimates
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